Heh! People have been talking about the "surprise" for years. We had broken the Japanese codes and could read their stuff. We could not let them suspect it....all the training and all the weapons & ammo...and they still pulled off Pearl Harbor. Surprise Attack and you best be ready for it?
After the war we created a CIA and intelligence apparatus to prevent it. We got the Bay of Pigs and we got 9/11. We should have sent the guys to Trinidad. We should have implemented the Gore Commission's findings.
Normally most trouble happens because of diminished capacity or passions. In other words events involving romance, alcohol or vulnerable kids. People who tote guns into a bar and then drink just might be courting trouble. Getting into other people's business is courting trouble.
Folks who mess with people's families deserve whatever trouble that they get.